Asian Review of Financial Research / August 2009 Vol. 22 No. 3
The Effect of Non-Trading Period on IPO Underpricing in Korean Stock Market
Jong-Ryong Lee, Jin-Woo Kim
Asian Review of Financial Research
Vol.22 No.3 pp.1-34
Keyword : IPO,Underpricing,Non-Trading Period Effects,Option Valuation,Market Making
The Effect of Non-Trading Period on IPO Underpricing in Korean Stock Market
In the Korean stock market, investors must wait, on average, for about 3 weeks after subscription day to trade initial public offering (IPO) stocks. At subscription day, the underwriting firms receive orders for the IPO stocks from various investor groups such as employees of the issuing firm, institutional and individual investors. This results in creating time lapse, or non-trading period between subscription and listing day in Korea. This is quite different from the IPO process in the U.S. Such non-trading period may be a risk factor on the IPO investments. Because investors cannot trade the IPO stocks during the non-trading period, they cannot gain the trading profits when positive information for an IPO stock is obtained and vice versa. This paper examines how the existence of non-trading period affects the IPO underpricing as a new risk factor that can increase the expected losses of the IPO investments in the Korean stock market. To answer this research question, we first define non-trading period effect as the upper bound of dis- count rate for the offering price or the expected losses that can occur during the non-trading period. We then measure an option value of the non-trading period effect with option pricing model and analyze the effect of the option values on the IPO underpricing. Longstaff (1995) provided an option pricing model to estimate losses by implementing restrictions on stock trade. Assuming a perfect timer who knows the optimal selling point of the IPO stocks, a variant of Longstaff model is applied to estimate the maximum expected losses resulting from the restriction on trading IPO stocks as option values. To estimate the option value, we should measure the volatility of each IPO stocks. But that is impossible because IPO stocks have no past return data. As a proxy for the volatility of an IPO stock, we used the average of volatilities of the matching firms. Matching firms, which had to be listed at least 3 years prior to the listing day of the concerned IPO stock, were selected within the same industry of the IPO stock. Using the data of 602 IPO stocks listed in Korea exchange (KRX) with KOSPI and KOSDAQ boards from February, 2000 to July, 2007, we first analyzed the degrees of IPO underpricing using various initial return measures. We found that the IPO underpricing in the Korean stock market was very high and sustainable. The average initial return at listing day (= closing price of listing day/offering price -1) was 57.60%. And the averages of the other 3 initial returns, the average of holding period returns (HPR) and cumulating abnormal returns (CAR) calculated for 20 trading days and HPR from listing day to first negative stock return day after the listing day, were higher than the average returns at the listing day. The amount of initial returns at listing day is more than double the amount of that in the U.S market, which was reported by Ritter and Welch (2002). We found the evidence that non-trading period effect is one of the important factors which determine the IPO underpricing. The option values for non-trading period effect were 11.98% of the offering price on average, which is about 21% of the initial returns at the listing day. And the IPO underpicing increases as the option value of the IPO stock increases. When the 602 IPO stocks were divided into five groups by their option values, the average initial returns of the highest group fell in the range of 25~49%, significantly higher than those of the lowest group, and the highest group always showed higher initial returns among subsamples before and after the abolition of the market making rule and among those of listed markets, KOSPI or KOSDAQ. These results are consistent with the results of the regression analysis. Various factors were controlled to evaluate the effect on the initial returns of IPO stocks. The factors considered were the change of the market making rule, market returns before and at the listing day, and other IPO-related characteristic variables -IPO amount, competitive rate of subscription, firm age, ROA, leverage ratio, etc. The option value for non-trading period effect was significantly and positively related with initial returns of IPO stocks in all models. However, the effects of the non-trading period on the IPO underpricing decreased after the abolition of the market making rule. Previous papers suggested that the expected losses of underwriting firms resulting from the IPO regulations such as compulsory market making rule or put-back option rule are the main cause for the IPO underpricing. Above and beyond this cause, this paper suggests that the expected losses of investors during non-trading period are another important cause for the IPO underpricing in the Korean stock market.
The Effect of Non-Trading Period on IPO Underpricing in Korean Stock Market
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The Effect of Ownership Structure on Payout Policy
Young Kyung Ko, Sung Wook Joh
Asian Review of Financial Research
Vol.22 No.3 pp.35-72
Keyword : Share Repurchase,Cash Dividends,Payout Policy,Ownership Structure
The Effect of Ownership Structure on Payout Policy
In this paper, we investigate how the ownership structure of a firm is related to its corporate policy on payouts. Previous literature has identified several goals that may guide firms’ payout policies such as signaling firm value or lowering agency costs. Some of these studies argue that firms may distribute their cash or engage in share repurchase programs in order to send a signal to the market that either they are undervalued or their future value will be higher. Other researches claim that firms might lower their agency costs by adopting a payout policy to lower free cash flows. The focus of our study is to investigate whether the ownership and the control rights of controlling shareholders are linked to corporate payout decisions. It has been widely recognized that there can be a discrepancy between the ownership rights (also known as cash flow rights) and the control rights of controlling shareholders. In the case of Korea, ownership by affiliated firms can contribute to such differences. Many Korean firms have subsidiaries that are interconnected through interlocking ownership and internal capital markets. Considering the corporate ownership structure, we measure control rights through all the cash flow rights of controlling shareholders and the voting rights of all subsidiaries. Thus, the control rights include all the shares under the influence of the controlling shareholders. First, we examine payout policies for all publicly traded firms in the Korean Stock Exchange between 1998 and 2005. For share repurchases, we collected information on corporate decisions to engage in open market share repurchases as well as to allocate resources to trust funds that specialize in treasury stocks. Since all publicly traded firms are required to disclose their decisions on share repurchases, we collect information on the announcement dates, the amounts, and the methods of share repurchases. In addition, for corporate decisions to distribute cash to shareholders, we use the annual information of cash dividends reported in their financial statements. We empirically test the determinants and effects of payout policy using the announcement information and the financial data of publicly traded firms. Based on empirical results from previous studies, we have controlled for other explanatory factors such as firm size, capital structure, volatility, market to book ratio, cash holding, free cash flow, and chaebol dummy. In addition to these explanatory factors, we also examine how ownership and control rights affect payout decisions. Overall empirical results in this paper can be summarized in three parts. First, we find that firms of which controlling shareholders have greater ownership and control rights are more likely to choose to pay cash dividends to their shareholders controlling for other factors. In contrast, firms with lower ownership and control rights are more likely to adopt share repurchase programs. These results are strong and statistically significant. Thus, our findings support the hypothesis that ownership structure affects corporate decisions to adopt payout policy. Second, we test whether firms with weak ownership rights are engaged in larger scale share repurchase programs. Specifically, we examine factors affecting the number of shares that a firm buys back or the proportion of firm resources allocated buying back shares. After controlling for the aforementioned explanatory factors, we find that firms with weaker ownership and control rights are more likely to both buy more shares and spend proportionately more resources, compared to firms with stronger ownership and control rights. Third, we examine the effects of payout policy on firm value. In particular, we investigate how announcements by firms to buy shares affect their stock returns. Under the efficient market hypothesis, investor decisions in the market are believed to reflect all information available in stock prices. Thus, the changes in stock prices reflect how the market evaluates the payout decisions of firms. We find that stock prices decline after the announcement of share repurchases by firms whose controlling shareholders have weaker ownership. This result is different from the positive stock returns shown in many earlier studies of share repurchases that did not examine ownership structure. Our result suggests that investors in the market perceive a negative consequence of share repurchases by firms with weak ownership structure and consequently, firm value declines. Taking into account all the results in this study, we conclude that a firm’s payout policy depends on ownership structure. Moreover, firms with weak ownership structures tend to adopt share repurchase programs at the cost of other shareholders.
The Effect of Ownership Structure on Payout Policy
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The Effect of M&A Announcements on Acquiring Firms' Shareholders
Hyosuk Kang, Sungpyo Kim
Asian Review of Financial Research
Vol.22 No.3 pp.73-112
Keyword : Merger,Acquisition of Business,Acquisition of Stock,Announcement Effect,Diversifying Acquisition
The Effect of M&A Announcements on Acquiring Firms' Shareholders
This study examines a large sample of M&As conducted in Korea since the financial crisis in late 1990s in order to investigate how announcement returns to acquiring firms differ among various types of acquisitions. We adopt the term ‘acquisition types’ inclusively: the legal procedures, intended goals, payment methods, and acquirer’s financial characteristics such as firm size. We try to get the sufficient sample size by including ‘acquisition of business’ and ‘acquisition of stock’, as well as ‘merger’ in our sample M&A firms. However, we exclude from our sample the backdoor listings that are fundamentally different from ordinary M&As in order to enhance the sample homogeneity. Most of existing empirical studies fail to distinguish backdoor listings from ordinary M&As in sample selection. In our preliminary analysis, the announcement returns of backdoor listings are estimated to be larger by more than twice the size of ordinary M&As. Based on the final sample of 396 acquisitions announced and completed by non-financial companies listed in the Korea Exchange (KRX) from January 2000 to June 2008, acquiring firms’ short-run stock performance (CARs) during the announcement period is examined to see if the market’s initial reaction is affected by such facts as: whether the transaction is a merger or acquisition; whether the acquisition is a diversifying or affiliated one or not; and whether the acquiring firm is large or small. Abnormal returns are measured using both the market adjusted and the market-model adjusted approaches, whose outcomes are basically similar. We perform our analysis both in a univariate setting and in a multivariate framework in which we control for other factors that may affect acquirer announcement returns. Our major findings are as follows. First, acquiring shareholders consistently earn positive abnormal returns for as long as 10 days prior to the announcement date, i.e., the date of decision by a board of directors. However, stock prices behave efficiently, showing seldom abnormal returns after the announcement date. Consequently, their CARs(-5, 1), on average, amount to 5.9%, statistically significant at the 1% level. The positive announcement effects on acquiring firms are more evident in domestic studies than those in foreign studies while the results are consistent with the empirical evidences of existing domestic studies. Furthermore, shareholders of firms in acquisitions of businesses earn positive abnormal returns (CARs(-5, 1)) of 11.1%, while those in abnormal returns to mergers and stock acquisitions are only 5.3%. The difference between these two is statistically significant. Second, acquirers of diversifying acquisitions significantly outperform in shareholders’ abnormal returns relative to acquirers of non-diversifying acquisitions. Although it has been commonly argued that non- diversifying acquisitions increasing the concentration of core business are more likely to create firm value, our empirical evidence supports the opposite. Our result seems to indicate that the stock market of the current decade values highly developing a new business area for the future growth through diversifying acquisitions. Third, acquirers of non-affiliated mergers significantly outperform in shareholders’ abnormal returns relative to those of affiliated mergers, both the acquirer and the target owned by the same major shareholder. The result is consistent with existing empirical findings, suggesting that affiliated mergers are usually initiated by corporate headquarters which have intention to remedy their ailing subsidiaries through mergers with better performing subsidiaries. Accordingly, shareholders of acquiring firms, namely well-performing subsidiaries, react negatively to the announcement of affiliated mergers. Fourth, we find the size effect on M&A transactions, which implies that announcement returns are inversely related with the acquirers’ firm size when measured in total assets and the market value of equity. The size effect is significant and robust in all the variations of regression models. However, the acquiring firm’s financial ratios measured prior to the year of merger completion such as free cash flow, debt ratio, book to market ratio, and profit margin do not have any significant effects on announcement returns. The targets’ financial data such as firm size and operating performance are not meaningfully related with the acquiring shareholders’ returns either. Lastly, it is commonly expected that announcement returns of acquisitions with stocks are less than those of cash acquisitions since acquiring firms would pay for their acquisitions with stocks when those stocks are overvalued and cash when they are undervalued. Although the extant foreign literature documents significant relations between the form of acquisition payment and announcement returns, we find no evidence that the method of payment conveys information about the acquirer’s firm value. Typically in Korea, all stock-financed acquisitions correspond to mergers as the legal forms of acquisitions, whereas all cash-financed acquisitions are of acquisitions of either stocks or businesses. Thus, it is possibly conjectured that the effect of payment methods is veiled by the legal forms of acquisitions.
The Effect of M&A Announcements on Acquiring Firms' Shareholders
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